Economy

High GDP growth driven by domestic consumption in 2013

Dr. Zakariah Abdul Rashid

According to the Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER), the country's economy is expected to grow 5.6 percent this year, driven primarily by its domestic economy. However, inflation is expected to rise to 2.5 percent due to an increased inflow of capital into the manufacturing sector.

The institute also forecasts the nation's gross domestic product (GDP) for the year 2014 to be within 5 and 6 percent with inflation to be maintained at 2.5 percent.

Dr. Zakariah Abdul Rashid maintains that at this rate Malaysia's economic growth is faster than the global economic growth, which is projected at 3.3 percent in 2012 and 3.6 percent in 2013.

He cited Malaysia's strategic location in the world's most dynamic region as the main reason for the high growth.

However he still considers domestic investment as the primary engine of growth. This is due to the on going implementation of the government's Economic Transformation Programme, better export data, and the continuance of negative developments overseas.

Private consumption made up more than half of the nation's real GDP in the third quarter of 2012, at 52.5 percent. This is more than four times the number of government consumption at 11.9 percent.

"As private consumption's share of real GDP is the largest among the expenditure components that make up domestic demand, it is critical to ensure that the growth is  sustainable and able to continue to support the overall economic growth," Zakariah stressed.

The government's initiatives in providing cash hand-outs and bonuses for civil servants as well as the newly implemented minimum wage are factors that are  expected to help maintain the growth of private consumption spending.

In the case of inflation, Zakariah commented that the 2.5 percent rate is a little higher than the inflation rate last year. However, this is still acceptable as it is the rate that facilitates growth. - Insight Sabah

Posted on January 18, 2013

Malay 中文 Kadazan
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